Renny Babiarz, PhD
Monthly or Weekly
Internal Security and Stability – Economic Development
The Chinese Political Intelligence channel provides multi-source analysis of China’s domestic political situation, from periodic geospatial analysis of key areas to an in-depth assessment of major political issues in China. Since China’s domestic political legitimacy is closely tied to its national economic development, subjects of analysis will include internal economic strategies, energy/industrial sectors, ethnic unrest, counter-terrorism strategies, and national political strategies. This channel will integrate analysis of Chinese language sources, geospatial intelligence, and academic sources to provide customers with deeply contextualized intelligence products. China’s domestic political landscape is defined in terms of stability for the ruling Chinese Communist Party (CCP), especially as this relates to territorial integrity, where geospatial analysis can be especially useful. These may be divided into two broad categories: current separatist issues within China, and ongoing territorial claims between China and other states. Separatist issues typically involve Tibetan Buddhist religious activity in China’s west/southwest provinces of Xizang (Tibet) and Sichuan, and terrorism/counter-terrorism activities in China’s northwest province of Xinjiang. Additionally, China has outstanding territorial disputes along the India-China border, in the Spratly Islands area of the South China Sea among various Southeast Asian states, and in the Senkaku Islands area of the East China Sea. Further, China claims Taiwan as a province, and seeks to politically reunify Taiwan. Each of these issues is of critical importance for understanding China’s overall goal of long-term political stability, and geospatial analysis of these territorial areas provides essential insight on these issues.
China’s economic development also strongly factors into assessments of the CCP’s political stability, and aspects of China’s economy are well-suited for geospatial analysis. China’s economy continues to undergo dramatic changes; for example, China’s broad shift towards a service-based economy has dislocated manufacturing industries as it has expanded its domestic travel and tourism sectors. Additionally, anti-pollution efforts have led to an expansion of nuclear power plants in China’s energy sector. Yet aspects of China’s manufacturing and energy industries have been slow to adjust, producing staggering amounts of pollution along with some severe economic inefficiencies. From charting airport construction to monitoring coal-fired and nuclear power plants, geospatial analysis adds an important layer to our understanding China’s ongoing economic development, all within the context of CCP political stability.